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The Aggressive Portfolio trades a bit more often (average of 1 stock per week) than our conservative Model Portfolio and uses more aggressive picks (both long stocks and inverse ETFs), giving us incredible profits regardless of the market environment. The portfolio produced a +306% return its first year, and a +855% return in its first 35 months. In the two years from April 2007 to April 2009, during the worst bear market since the Great Depression, this portfolio gained +186% compared to a market loss of -34%. As I update this page in April 2009, the portfolio has had another solid run. In the last month alone, since early March 2009 through April 9, the portfolio has returned 55% compared to a return for the market (S&P 500) of 14%:
Here are two charts of our stock picks from the period depicted in the chart above. We use a classic approach of buying low and selling high, but we do it with the market direction in our favor. In these two cases, the returns from our approach were 75% and 66% in less than two weeks:
Of course, these two cases are cherry-picked, but all transactions are documented here for the Aggressive Portfolio and here for the Model Portfolio. STATISTICSPro-Trading-Profits.com tracks 218 trading strategies, does an in-depth analysis of their performance results, and documents those results with a comparison to all other newsletters. According to analysis of our returns for Pro-Trading Profits.com, at the 3-year anniversary of our Aggressive Portfolio, there is an average of 47 winning trades and just 9 losers per year. The average gain on a winning trade is 13.4% and the average return on all trades combined is 4.6%. The average drawdown percent is just 6%. The average time a position is held in the Aggressive Portfolio is 13.4 days and there are an average of 6.9 trades per month. On a monthly basis, 72.7% of all months are winning months. The largest monthly gain is 12.6% and the largest monthly loss is -2.7%. ULCER INDEX: The Ulcer Index is a measure of the depth and duration of drawdowns (measured by percent), and was developed as an alternative to the Sharpe Ratio. The greater the drawdowns and the longer it takes to recover from them the higher the Index, so in this case a low value is preferred. Our Ulcer Index is just 1.51, compared to an average for all of the newsletters PTP tracks of 7.49.
How can we pick stocks so accurately and produce such outstanding results? We've developed a scientifically based system that chooses the appropriate market trends and the appropriate stocks depending on whether the market is in a upward phase or a consolidation/decline phase. We have our share of losing trades, but we limit the downside on the losers with stop losses. When a stock is gaining ground, we let the profits run while the position is moving higher. ACCURATE DUCUMENTATION OF PERFORMANCEIntelligentValue's Model Portfolio uses state-of-the-art portfolio management techniques based on the scientific method. We remove the emotions that typically whipsaw investors and provide you with very precise buy and sell signals. We also insure that the buy and sell signals we provide to you are emotion-free by working with Investor's Intelligence, which has been providing accurate, comprehensive technical market analysis for more than 50 years. To provide complete authenticity of performance, all of the stock picks in our portfolio have been tracked since day one by an independent, third party data provider; FinancialContent.com. FCON has documented every position in our Portfolio every five minutes during the trading day since the portfolio launch on September 23, 2004. COMPLETE TRANSPARENCYWe feel that transparency of performance is a very important feature of our online newsletter, giving subscribers complete confidence that our published returns are exactly the same as our subscriber's returns. We announce our picks in the evening so you can place a buy/sell order for execution at the market open the next morning. You get the exact stock details and number of shares to buy, customized for your investment amount. This approach makes using our system incredibly easy, requiring just 15 minutes a week to implement. Since we use the opening price and defined stop prices for selling a stock, our portfolios will ALWAYS produce exactly the same results that you receive. Plus, the price and performance of each portfolio stock, as well as our total portfolio returns, are documented every five minutes during market hours by a well-known, independent data provider (FinancialContent.com), so you can keep track of exactly how much you're making every day. Remember that our two portfolios are examples to demonstrate our 'Dynamic Value' approach to investing. They are both speculative. IntelligentValue has no knowledge of your personal financial circumstances and does not recommend any particular stocks. You should do your own analysis and homework to determine if our examples are appropriate for you, or use them to give you other ideas for investments that fit your needs. JOIN NOWJoin now to get access to our proven example portfolios as well as powerful, money-making insights into the investment markets that you can use RIGHT NOW.
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